Frost dates for Gainesville, Florida
Florida · first & last freeze, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals
In a typical year, the last spring freeze around Gainesville comes near March 3 and the first fall freeze near December 2. One year in ten, a freeze still arrives after March 23 in spring — and one year in ten, the first fall freeze has already landed by November 12. NCEI's own growing-season statistic (days between freezes, percentiled per year) puts the median at 277 days.
Freeze-date probabilities, three thresholds
| Threshold | Last spring — 9 in 10 years past by | Last spring — typical (median) | Last spring — 1 in 10 years later than | First fall — 1 in 10 years by | First fall — typical (median) | First fall — 9 in 10 years by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F — near-freezing (frost can occur) | February 27 | March 17 | April 7 | November 3 | November 19 | December 9 |
| 32°F — freezing | February 1 | March 3 | March 23 | November 12 | December 2 | January 1 |
| 28°F — hard freeze | January 9 | February 12 | March 14 | November 25 | December 25 | January 26 |
Measured at Gainesville Rgnl Ap, FL (USW00012816), 4.3 mi from the city's census reference point, elev. 123 ft. NOAA/NCEI 1991–2020 normals. Read each date column as odds over the 30-year record — e.g. "9 in 10 years past by" means only one spring in ten saw a later freeze than that date.
Frost-free windows (computed)
| Window (32°F ends) | Opens | Closes | Length |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious (1-in-10 freeze risk at each end) | March 23 | November 12 | 234 days |
| Typical (median freeze dates) | March 3 | December 2 | 274 days |
| Gambler's (9-in-10 freeze risk at each end) | February 1 | January 1 | 334 days |
Pure arithmetic on the freeze-date percentiles above — the "cautious" window opens on the date only 1 year in 10 still sees a later spring freeze, and closes on the date by which only 1 year in 10 has already frozen.
About this city's numbers
- Census entity: Gainesville city, Florida — official 2024 population estimate 148,720.
- Weather station: Gainesville Rgnl Ap, FL (USW00012816), 4.3 mi from the city's census-gazetteer reference point at elevation 123 ft. Frost dates are that station's history — neighborhoods vary.
- Data pulled 2026-09-05; normals period 1991-2020 (replaced by NOAA roughly once a decade).
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