Frost dates for Palm Bay, Florida
Florida · first & last freeze, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals
In a typical year, the last spring freeze around Palm Bay comes near January 30 and the first fall freeze near January 11. One year in ten, a freeze still arrives after March 1 in spring — and one year in ten, the first fall freeze has already landed by December 21. NCEI's own growing-season statistic (days between freezes, percentiled per year) puts the median at 343 days.
Freeze-date probabilities, three thresholds
| Threshold | Last spring — 9 in 10 years past by | Last spring — typical (median) | Last spring — 1 in 10 years later than | First fall — 1 in 10 years by | First fall — typical (median) | First fall — 9 in 10 years by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F — near-freezing (frost can occur) | January 10 | February 11 | March 13 | December 6 | January 1 | January 30 |
| 32°F — freezing | January 1 | January 30 | March 1 | December 21 | January 11 | February 14 |
| 28°F — hard freeze | December 29 | January 19 | February 15 | December 27 | January 14 | February 11 |
Measured at Palm Bay, FL (USC00086761), 3.0 mi from the city's census reference point, elev. 27 ft. NOAA/NCEI 1991–2020 normals. Read each date column as odds over the 30-year record — e.g. "9 in 10 years past by" means only one spring in ten saw a later freeze than that date.
Frost-free windows (computed)
| Window (32°F ends) | Opens | Closes | Length |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cautious (1-in-10 freeze risk at each end) | March 1 | December 21 | 295 days |
| Typical (median freeze dates) | January 30 | January 11 | 346 days |
| Gambler's (9-in-10 freeze risk at each end) | January 1 | February 14 | 365 days (effectively year-round at this risk level) |
Pure arithmetic on the freeze-date percentiles above — the "cautious" window opens on the date only 1 year in 10 still sees a later spring freeze, and closes on the date by which only 1 year in 10 has already frozen.
About this city's numbers
- Census entity: Palm Bay city, Florida — official 2024 population estimate 142,023.
- Weather station: Palm Bay, FL (USC00086761), 3.0 mi from the city's census-gazetteer reference point at elevation 27 ft. Frost dates are that station's history — neighborhoods vary.
- Data pulled 2026-09-05; normals period 1991-2020 (replaced by NOAA roughly once a decade).
More Florida cities
Jacksonville · Miami · Tampa · Orlando · St. Petersburg · Port St. Lucie · Hialeah · Cape Coral · all of Florida →