Frost Dates
Frost Dates · Michigan

Frost dates for Sterling Heights, Michigan

Michigan · first & last freeze, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals

Typical last spring freeze (32°F)
April 30
median date, 1991–2020
Typical first fall freeze (32°F)
October 24
median date, 1991–2020
Typical frost-free season
177 days
between the median dates

In a typical year, the last spring freeze around Sterling Heights comes near April 30 and the first fall freeze near October 24. One year in ten, a freeze still arrives after May 15 in spring — and one year in ten, the first fall freeze has already landed by October 7. NCEI's own growing-season statistic (days between freezes, percentiled per year) puts the median at 174 days.

JFMAMJJASONDApril 30October 24
The year at a glance: blue bands span the 9-in-10 to 1-in-10 range where the last spring / first fall 32°F freeze lands; the green band is the typical frost-free window between the median dates. Measured at Mt Clemens Ang Base, MI (USW00014804), 10.9 mi from the city's census reference point, elev. 580 ft. NOAA/NCEI 1991–2020 normals.

Freeze-date probabilities, three thresholds

ThresholdLast spring — 9 in 10 years past byLast spring — typical (median)Last spring — 1 in 10 years later thanFirst fall — 1 in 10 years byFirst fall — typical (median)First fall — 9 in 10 years by
36°F — near-freezing (frost can occur)April 28May 11May 28September 26October 9October 24
32°F — freezingApril 16April 30May 15October 7October 24November 3
28°F — hard freezeApril 3April 18May 3October 20November 3November 15

Measured at Mt Clemens Ang Base, MI (USW00014804), 10.9 mi from the city's census reference point, elev. 580 ft. NOAA/NCEI 1991–2020 normals. Read each date column as odds over the 30-year record — e.g. "9 in 10 years past by" means only one spring in ten saw a later freeze than that date.

Frost-free windows (computed)

Window (32°F ends)OpensClosesLength
Cautious (1-in-10 freeze risk at each end)May 15October 7145 days
Typical (median freeze dates)April 30October 24177 days
Gambler's (9-in-10 freeze risk at each end)April 16November 3201 days

Pure arithmetic on the freeze-date percentiles above — the "cautious" window opens on the date only 1 year in 10 still sees a later spring freeze, and closes on the date by which only 1 year in 10 has already frozen.

About this city's numbers

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